Arran Development Trust Input to Arran Affordable Housing Task Force
Arran Development Trust
March 2023
Table Of Contents
11.Summary ADT Survey Results.
12.0 Background information from Previous Work.
Our primary objective remains to increase the supply of affordable homes directly and indirectly. The strategic discussion is how we can best do this.
In summary , it is clear that by joining up various strands of Public Sector funding with Community Priorities and Private Sector finance we can go a long way to solving the affordable housing crisis on Arran and other Islands.
We will obtain £4m in funds from the Government and a Commercial Bank to build 18 affordable homes and 25 serviced self-build plots. This is the biggest Private, Public and Community affordable housing building project on any Scottish Island. It would not have happened without the perseverance of our small Island team. Specific recognition was given by the BoD for hard and smart work, flexible approach and financial assistance. A few far sighted individuals within the Public Sector should also be commended for their vision and support.
The primary focus of the Officers and Directors will be the delivery of 18 affordable homes and 25 serviced self-build plots. However, this £4m milestone allows us to take stock of what we have learned, the direction of travel in the Island economy and develop a plan to deliver even more homes, directly and indirectly, as well as potential infrastructure projects.
The attached document forms the bones of the Journey so far, lessons learned and recommendations for change . Details can best be added with interactive discussion.
A Big Idea is a non-essential ingredient but very helpful in the dark days.
Ingredients
1) Community Trust with a vision for the future and a BOD with skills, energy and above all perseverance.
2) Public Sector support for the community to develop the vision into a series of measurable actions. That is, a Community owned Plan.
3) Baseline data to determine the start point and agreed target and time to achieve.
4) Community and Public Sector Resources to Deliver the Plan.
5) Open and transparent engagement and governance process.
THE BIG IDEA.
Arran is a world class place to Live, Work and Visit, balancing Community, Environment and Economy.
How: Community group optimise existing public sector infrastructure improvement (Broadband and Ferry Terminal) and identify others to achieve the Vision.
Metrics: 1) Revenue Growth. 2). Quality of Life 3) Population in total and improving demographics.
Outcomes: Through the last decade: Revenue growth at 2% approx. Quality of Life shows Arran in the top 10% in Scotland. Population and demographics still a problem.
Primary Reasons for Population issues : The lack of Affordable Housing has been identified in every independent Professional Study and Community priority setting programme since 2007.
Response: Community embarks upon a journey to increase the supply of Affordable Housing, increase working population and promote economic growth and community sustainability. This is one of several journeys.
Current State:
Insufficient supply of affordable housing to Arran over the last 20-years has created an affordable housing crisis, driving depopulation and risking the sustainability of the Island Community and Economy.
Future State:
Agreement between the Arran Community and NAC on the demand and supply of affordable housing on Arran, with funding and a build plan which matches supply to demand.
How do we move from Current to Future State: (Phase 1)
Commission a study to define affordable housing demand based on Economic need. 2015
Study defines affordable housing demand at 200 units. NAC’s Strategic Housing Investment Plan (SHIP) moves from 0 to 54. 2016
Establish Arran Development Trust to increase the number of affordable homes on Arran to match identified demand, through influence and direct action. 2017
ADT secures funds to identify land and projects to close the supply gap. 2018
ADT puts the house build plan to competitive tender. 2018
ADT secured a conditional Regional and Island Housing Fund (RIHF) for £3.5m to build 45 houses in Lamlash. 2019
ADT failed to secure a Scottish Land Fund grant to purchase the required land 2019
ADT reconfigures the plan to build 18 affordable homes and 25 serviced plots. 2020
ADT Receives final approval, sign off and private funds of £2.5 m to add to the £1.5m from RIHF the to build 18 affordable homes and 25 serviced plots. 2022
NAC completed 34 of the 54 houses in Brodick identified in 2016 SHIP 2022 2022
After 8 years affordable housing demand remains significantly ahead of supply causing depopulation, and significant risk to the sustainability of the Island.
3 Continued
Phase 2
NAC/Islands Team/ADT commission study to determine affordable housing demand on Arran based on socio-economic need. Start 2022/Done 2023
ADT Build 18 affordable homes and 25 serviced plots Start 2023/ Done 2024
Trust Housing build 25 affordable homes. Start 2025/ Done 2027
Phase 3
New Demand Assessment and SHIP established. ?
Batch: 18 Affordable Homes and 25 Serviced Plots.
Ingredients:
It should be recognised that many key ingredients are vanishingly rare. More sustainable ingredients are being sought for our next batch. More on this later.
Step 1 ( 8 Years)
Step 2 ( 18 months)
Step 3 ( 2024)
Lessons Learned:
Lessons Learned Continued.
Recommendations/Asks:
1) Simplify/shorten the application process.
2) Create Best Practice Cookbook for increasing supply of affordable housing on Islands.
3) Join up agency funding around a specific theme e.g. population or affordable housing. For example ; if Regional and Island Housing Fund (RIHF) part fund the build, there needs to be a very good reason why Scottish Land Fund (SLF) does not part fund the land purchase. They should connect with each other.
4) Funding agencies give priority to programmes that seek at least 50% of funding from Private Sector. Better leverage Public Finace.
5) As the name suggests RIHF support Rural and Island. Although rural cost will be higher than non-rural, Islands have 30% cost premium for building, which is not taken into account in the grant.
6) RIHF can pay ‘abnormal costs’ incurred at the end of the project. This can put small community projects in jeopardy through cash flow issues. Pay ‘abnormal costs’ at the various building stages in which the costs are incurred.
7) Much of RIHF is left unclaimed. This is caused by the practical difficulties small organisation have in completing projects. Either fund professional services to support projects, from planning to financing or use £45m fund to leverage private funding and provide a combined Public/Private £130m fund.
5 c) . Local Authority: Lessons learned.
Local Authority Recommendations/Asks:
1) Initiate Affordable Housing Demand Review to reach agreement between the Arran Community and Local Authority, considering economic and community needs, over the next 10 years.(More detail on input to this separately)
2) Create Affordable Housing Task Force to look at all aspects of Demand and Supply of housing on Arran. Use learnings to support other Island Communities.
3) Arran Affordable Housing Fund. Funded by Second and Empty Homes Council Tax income. 25% of housing stock is Second and Empty homes. 40% of NAC Second Homes are on Arran. Show how Second Homeowners contribute to solving the critical housing shortage. Increase Council Tax on Second Homes.
4) Arran Affordable Housing Demand Assessment follows, including critique of Common Housing Register from an Island Perspective and the use of other Island demand indicators like Tied Accommodation, Void Rates, Business and Public Services vacancies and the 10 year plan.
5) Pay for Planning and Warranty charges to support RIHF affordable housing projects.
6) ADT’s should have access to income from the Second Homes fund.
7) Points allocation process tailored to Community Need.
5 d). Collective Focus on Priority Issues:
1) Ambition based joint resources, Community, Public and Private sector. Engage the power of the community and the private sector to set jointly achievable goals that lever additional funds to deliver the Strategic Objectives of the Islands Plan.
2) Incentives for Local Authorities to support Island Affordable Housing Demand. New carrots or sticks. e.g., bigger housing funding allowance for Local Authorities with Island Populations: (Island build cost means less electoral bang for the Island buck, means less affordable houses built).
3) Increase pace, measurement, and delivery: Days, weeks, months rather than months, quarters, and years, to solve this critical problem.
The Arran Development Trust has identified several additional pieces of data required to supplement the Housing Register method of determining Social Housing Demand on Islands generally and Arran in particular. The data required for demand assessment is probably Island specific. For Arran it is outlined below.
Problems with the Housing Register Method
The Housing Register method assumes the existence of a public and private transport network that allows easy movement between locations for employment. That is, people in low rent areas with low levels of economic activity, can service economic and public service demand in areas of high economic or public service activity. This is not the case on Arran. There are no low rent areas. There is a closed transport network dependent on a poor ferry service and limited public transport. This directly impacts the ability of the economy and public services to react to increases in demand.
10 year economic and public sector plans, need to play major part in the demand assessment for affordable homes.
Ten year trend analysis on tourism, which is the major economic sector on the Island, suggests a 20% increase in the volume of tourists. CalMac are using this 100,000 increase in passengers in their long term planning. Based on the Fraser of Allander study, this could represent a 150-200 increase in the number of employees required. The population increase in this sector alone, will have knock effects on Education and Health and Social Services. This does not include the demands of an aging population (33% over 65) and most likely growth in other sectors.
6 Continued.
Void Rates should be indicators of latent demand on Islands
7 . Ideal Ingredients:Community, Public, Private Affordable Housing
If all recommendations are accepted. What could ADT’s next batch ingredients look like?
Step 1 ( 2 Years)
1) Simplify/shorten the application process.
2) Create Best Practice Cookbook for increasing supply of affordable housing on Islands.
3) Join up agency funding around a specific theme e.g. population or affordable housing. For example; if Regional and Island Housing Fund (RIHF) part fund the build, there needs to be a very good reason why Scotish Land Fund (SLF) does not part fund the land purchase. They should connect with each other.
4) Priority given by funding agencies to programmes that seek at least 50% of funding from the Private Sector. Better leverage Public Finance.
5) RIHF recognises additional Island Build Costs: Although rural cost will be higher than non-rural, Islands have a 30% cost premium for building. This is not taken into account in the housing grants.
6) RIHF can pay ‘abnormal costs’ incurred at the end of the project. This can put small community projects in jeopardy through cash flow issues. Pay ‘abnormal costs’ at the various building stages in which the costs are incurred.
7) Public/Private Island affordable housing fund. For example, RIHF has £45m over 5 years. Local island groups then guddle around to get the balance of funds to build the houses. This could be made easier by a centrally managed private/public fund to lever the £45m to £125m. And/or provide professional support/services to small communities
8b) Local Authority Recommendations:
1) Initiate Affordable Housing Demand Review to reach agreement between the Arran Community and Local Authority, considering economic and community needs, over the next 10 years.(More detail on input to this separately)
2) Create Affordable Housing Task Force to look at all aspects of Demand and Supply of housing on Arran. Use learnings to support other Island Communities.
3) Arran Affordable Housing Fund. Funded by Second and Empty Homes Council Tax income. 25% of housing stock is Second and Empty homes. 40% of NAC Second Homes are on Arran. Show how Second Homeowners contribute to solving the critical housing shortage.
4) Increase Council Tax on Second Homes and Empty Homes with the exception of Long Term Lets. To emphasis item 3 and increase affordable Island housing fund.
5) ADT access to income from the Second Homes fund.
6) Pay for Planning and Warranty charges to support RIHF affordable housing projects.
7) Island Affordable Housing Demand Assessment: Separate recommended changes to the Arran Affordable Housing Demand Assessment outlined within this paper.
8 c) Collective Focus on Priority Issues:
1) Ambition based joint resources, Community, Public and Private sector. Engage the power of the community and the private sector to set jointly achievable goals that lever additional funds to deliver the Strategic Objectives of the Islands Plan.
2) Incentives for Local Authorities to support Island Affordable Housing Demand. New carrots or sticks. e.g., bigger housing funding allowance for Local Authorities with Island Populations: (Island build cost means less electoral bang for the Island buck, means less affordable houses built).
3) Increase pace, measurement, and delivery: Days, weeks, months rather than months, quarters, and years, to solve this critical problem.
The Start Point
Scotland Arran Comment
Social Housing as % of total: 24% 11% Less than half the national average
Second Homes as % of total: 1.1% 25% Arran has 40% of NAC3 second homes
Average House Prices: (2021): £205k £273k North Ayrshire prices are half that on Arran
NAC social housing rents are the lowest in North Ayrshire. Arran’s main providers charge higher rents. Trust Housing (Nov 21) charges 28% more for three-bedroom house. Irvine Housing Association is 19% higher. These are not the worst examples.
In summary, a study completed in 2015 suggested Arran needed a minimum of 200 more affordable homes. We have built 34. There are nearly twice as many second homes as social homes on Arran. If you can get a social home, it will cost more than the mainland. The lack of affordable housing remains a critical constraint on population retention and growth, and economic development, as outlined by the 2015 North Star Study and more recently by the Fraser of Allander Study in 2020.
Change is inevitable. We can shape it by understanding the direction of travel.
Arran Development Trust Purpose:
The Arran Development Trust (ADT) will increase the supply of affordable homes, directly and indirectly, for the Arran community, to the point where demand and supply are in balance. It will do this by working with the private and public sector to raise funds, improve processes and build homes. In addition, the ADT will support other infrastructure projects that increase the sustainability and prosperity of the Island. It will do all of the above, while working to maintain the Island Economy, Community and Environment in Balance.
Direction of Travel:
1) If we only grow tourism at historic level, we will attract 100,000 new visitors and an extra £20m by 2032. Equal to two Auchrannies ? (20% annual increase).
2) The addition of another 1000 passenger ferry and improvements in the application and development of digital technology will support migration to Arran.
3) There will be other infrastructure developments. e.g. (Marina, Distillery, Timber Processing, Tourist Accommodation) which will require infrastructure and labour.
4) Transport movements on and off the Island have increased by 43% since 2010. Repeating this growth over the next 12 will see an additional 50,000 vehicle movements by 2030. Do we have the infrastructure for it ? Is this desirable ?
5) Assuming we staff up to support the above, population will stabilize and then increase with the injection of new social and private housing. Target the 2001 level of 5,000 by 2030 ? What house building programme supports this
6) Public Sector funds for social/affordable will become harder to obtain. We need to find new creative ways of matching public and private sector funding to deliver our affordable housing needs.
7) Second Homes will remain at around 23% -25% of housing stock by 2030 ? 40-year trend. Possible source of funding for affordable homes support (Wales and North Yorkshire).
8) Population Increase will mean 230 more 0 -15 year olds and 111 more 65+ by 2030 (32% of Population ). Are we resourced for it (schools, early learning, care) ?
9) Personal, local, national, global reactions to climate change will drive all aspects of life and business over the next 10 years…What does this mean for Arran?
10) The Island Bill implies more Island consultation and control over our local services and environment. What does this mean for Arran?
November 8th
97% of residents on Arran, who completed a recent survey, agreed the Island needs more affordable housing. 96% felt the lack of affordable housing threatens the community and economy of Arran. This is no surprise, every Arran priority survey and professional research since 2008 has identified the lack of affordable housing as the biggest constraint on economic development and the primary cause of young and working age migration.
Opinion was also sought on what could be done to improve the situation. 90% of the participants agreed the island needs an Arran Affordable Housing Fund, funded by income from Second and Empty homes, and used to alleviate Arran’s chronic housing shortage. 25% of Arran’s Housing stock are Second Homes, the largest proportion in Scotland. The fund, administered by the Local Authority, would be used to cover the extra cost of building on the Island and potentially, provide some rent subsidy for key workers.
A significant majority is in favour of increases in Council Tax on Second Homes (88%) and Long-Term Empty houses (78%). Second Homes were not seen as the major problem but as a means of helping to fund more affordable homes.
The local authority, North Ayrshire Council have recently completed 34 social houses in Brodick. These are the first Local Authority houses on Arran in a generation. The Community appreciate them, allowing families to stay on the Island and provide hope for the families still desperately seeking accommodation.
The fact is Arran needs a lot more affordable housing, with the survey suggesting 197. To this end, the Arran Development Trust will obtain funds from the Scottish Government Regional Island Housing Fund and match them with private funding, to create 18 affordable homes and 25 serviced plots for self-build, over the next two years. It is still not enough.
There were several other suggestions made by Islanders that the Arran Development Trust will continue to discuss with the Local Authority. The biggest task will be to agree the affordable housing demand with the Local Authority and then finding a way to build the homes.
Of many comments to the survey, this one best articulates the feeling of the respondents: “Teachers, nurses, doctors, care staff cannot find permanent places to live, be it renting or buying. Bus drivers, supermarket staff, hotel and catering staff have no hope of buying, and rentals are like hen’s teeth. One recent case saw a new member of staff at Montrose House Care Home asked for somewhere to pitch the trailer tent she was living in. How can this be normal?”
The Arran Development Trust and the Arran Community does not accept that this is “normal” and will continue to work with local and central Government to find short- and longer-term solutions.
12.
Back ground Information from 2019 through 2021: Recommendations and supporting data.
Arran’s Housing Crisis and what we do about it:
The Arran housing crisis is deepening. It is probably the biggest example of a Public Service Inequality on our Island. The lead time to create sufficient affordable housing to resolve the crisis is too long. Remedial action is required now to mitigate the worst impacts of the crisis. The remedial action can run in parallel with an urgent building programme and yes, we do appreciate NAC’s 34 social houses in Brodick. It provides a slight glimmer of hope.
Much of this information was put together in August 2019. Most of it will be depressingly familiar and is still directionally correct. I have updated where appropriate.
Contents:
2
Prepared from various declared sources by Tom Tracey: Chairman Arran Development Trust November 2021.
The Problem: Rapid increase in house prices further exacerbated the existing chronic lack of affordable housing, impacting; public services, population and GVA.
We need urgent action now from the Community and Government Agencies.
Objectives ( Strategic): Create a demand/supply balance for affordable housing.
(Tactical): Encourage private sector housing into long-term letting and create an affordable housing fund to support strategic and tactical objectives.
How do we achieve the objectives?
What ( Strategic) When Who
(Tactical)
from Second Homes Council Tax/annum: 2023 NAC
Genuine small business (139 = £203k potential for item 4): 2024 SG
subsidise rents for key workers and build houses: 2024 NAC
Foundations) accommodation. Nov – Ongoing ADT
up to 50% for providing Long Term Lets (LTS): 2023. NAC
‘Change of Use’ Planning Permission. (e.g. Edinburgh): 2023. NAC
monitor 70-day occupancy. 2023. NAC/SG
2 cont..
Housing when second and empty homes exceed 35% of stock. 2023. NAC
Permission on residential property: ( Affordable Housing Fund). 2023. NAC
for Long Term Empty Houses after year two: 2023. SG
Want to convert part to LTL accommodation. 2023. NAC
That Second Homes are contributing to Affordable Homes. 2023 ADT/NAC
Notes: North Ayrshire Council (NAC): Arran Development Trust (APT): Scottish Government (SG):Highland Islands Enterprise ( HIE): Item 9, Edinburgh City Council plans: Item 10, Government plans: Item 11, Variation on St Ives/North Wales/Peak, Lake Districts models.General point: Reduce Income Tax on LTL. E.G. France, 10%. Germany 2.7% SGov/UKGov
3.
NAC Social Housing Weekly Rent Comparisons for 2018
Background to Social Housing in North Ayrshire and Arran:
There are 342 social houses on Arran. The primary social housing provider is Trust Housing. This is the third year that these comparisons have been made with similar results. This analysis does not address the critical shortage of social housing on Arran, only the significant disparity in rents between Arran and the mainland.
There are two social housing providers on Arran. Trust provides 283 and Irvine providing 59 (1). Trust provides the leads in setting Arran rents
Conclusions:
Social Weekly Rents for North Ayrshire
1 apt. 2apt. 3 apt. 4 apt. 5 apt
NAC (ii) £58.6 £74.8 £75.9 £72.0 £78.1
ANCO (iii) £61.1 £71.2 £82.4 £93.7 £102.8
Irvine. £62.6 £79.7 £89.8 £93.9 £99.6
Cunningham. £64.1 £77.9 £95.2 £102.8 £109.5
Trust £131.3 £120.9 £95.1 £95.6 £92.5
Arran % rent more 124% 61%. 25%. 33%. 19%
than best in NAC.
Source: (i) Housing Study
(ii) NAC: NAC website.
(iii) IHA Comparison Website.
Note: It is assumed that Trust Housing 1 and 2 Apartments provide additional services or at least they did when the rate was set.
3 Cont.
House Price Comparison, Housing Stock and Opportunities:
£182,190 £193,56 £198,199 £199,070 £225,000 £282, 666
Second Homes and Empty Homes: ( Data from Freedom of Information. Still directionally correct).
3 a) Arran has 86 empty homes and 640 second homes or 21% of occupied homes.(vi).
This number has increased by 37 or 6% since 2016 study.
Scotland: Arran: Coll/Tiree: Isla/Jura/Colonsay: Iona: Bute: Highland & Orkney
1.1%. 23.4% 29.3%. 14.8% 12.6% 11.7%. 3.6%. (iii)
With the exception of Coll & Tiree , combined population of 848 (vii) Arran has the largest number of second homes in any similar mainland or Island community.
Use Revenue opportunities from Second Homes to help solve Housing crisis:
Holiday/second homes are a feature of the Arran holiday market and always have been. This will not change and is a part of our Islands history and culture. So let’s work with it.
However, at what point does the proportion of second homes and empty homes alter the nature of the community in which they exist. Is Brodick OK with 21%? Blackwaterfoot has 37%. Is this too high or is it a non- issue?
At what point does a village become a holiday dormitory?
(iv) Scotland Register of Housing (September)
4.
Arran’s Housing Stock including Long Term Empty, Holiday and Second Homes.Updated Information from NAC Available separately
Arran Housing Supply Analysis February 2023 (Source NAC)
Summary of Arran Housing:
Area Private Social. Empty. Second Private Total. Demand
Landlord Housing. Homes. Homes. Owners.
Blackwaterfoot 32 10 5 53 196 296 5
Brodick 68 113 29 106 387 703 36
Corrie. 12 36 10 53 53 164 7
Kilmory. 19 19 4 6 70 118 3
Lamlash. 58 149 33 139 400 779 18
Lochranza. 18 6 6 53 85 168 3
Pirnmill 7 9 3 20 54 93 3
Shiskine. 23 11 7 23 133 197 4
Whiting Bay. 45 28 39 146 387 645 12
Total 282 381 136 599 1765 3163 91
% of Total 9 12 4 19 56 100
Business 139 3302
Rates ——
738
% of Total 22
Plus Empty 4
—-
26%
Arran House Scheduled for Business Rates: (Included on previous page)
Blackwaterfoot : 8, Lochranza: 4.
Brodick: 26. Machrie: 7.
Corrie: 6. Pirnmill: 1. Total Number =139
Kildonan: 7. Shannochie: 3. Council Tax Loss = £203k/an.
Kilmory: 6. Shiskine: 13.
Lamlash: 44. Sliddery: 2.
Whitingbay: 12.
Source: Scottish Assessors
—————————————————————————————————————————
Second Homes by Band and Council Tax Contribution:
Council Tax Band. Number of Properties. Tax Rate. Tax Contribution
A 67 £895. £59,965
B 70 £1,044. £73,080
C 101 £1,193 £120,493
D 132 £1,342 £177,144
E 154 £1,764 £271,656
F 64 £2,182 £139,648
G 14 £2,692 £36,806
——– ————- 602 602 £878,79
Note:
NAC 2019 to 2024 Social Housing Investment Plan (SHIP) Summary Notes:
( Data from 2019 Analysis still used as it is still directionally correct)
7.
The NAC Social Housing Investment Plan (SHIP) establishes operating principles. Practises and numbers. It will be a good guide as we plan ahead.
Some highlights I have extracted:
8.
Rural and Island Housing Fund:
The Scottish Government recognised the special needs of Rural and Island communities. Specifically, that the cost of operating in these areas for Housings Associations and Local Authorities could be prohibitive, adding to the housing shortages that already existed in these areas.
In February 2016 the Government announced The Rural Housing Fund, followed later that year by The Island Housing Fund. For all intent and purpose, these funds are managed as one; The Rural and Island Housing Fund (RIHF).
This was announced through press releases and although no formal targets were set the announcement of £25M for Rural and £5M for Island anticipated creating 600 affordable homes in rural and Islands communities by 2021. The £30m Fund is managed by the Housing Minister, through an extension of Highland and Islands Enterprise.
This fund is now closed but a further £45m has been allocated to provide Rural and Island Housing Fund support.
How is the Fund did against its objectives?
Freedom of information requests obtained by James McEnaney informs us that the fund processed grants to build or convert 73 rural homes and 13 Island homes. They had processed applications for a further 12 homes but they did not proceed.
Based on the information from the FOI in March 2019, they have created 86 homes in Rural and Island localities against a press release target of 600. Being generous they may go up to 100 if the 12 come back in and they find another couple under the sofa.
On the money side, it looks like they have processed grants for around £5.3 million against a budget of £30 million. Most of the applications are small scale with the largest being 12 homes in Highland Region.
It was to this fund (RIHF) that we (ADT) have now processed applications for grants for 18 affordable homes. We have private financial companies prepared to provide development and exit funding including an additional 25 serviced affordable plots for self-build.
In summary, our plan is well scoped. Funds are available. We will work with RIHF and other Government agencies to help the process achieve its objectives.